Comments on: Postgame update: Perkins, and an 0-fer against NY

By: Boneyard

Boneyard — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 19:00:37 +0000

Des, wouldn’t think of citing ‘87 or ‘91 for those purposes, particularly ‘91. In ‘91, we caught lightning in a bottle, which could happen with a club very like our current club. It’s just highly improbable. The game has changed so much in the last 20 years ecconomically that I don’t think you could cite any particular club in that era as an example.

By: Des

Des — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 18:42:25 +0000

It is interesting how thing change in a short period of time. Less than a week ago, Morneau was player of the week, our rotation had finally gone at least 2 times through with quality starts, Harris was ok in the 2 spot, we were ending a good road trip, had just beat the Tiger and were 1.5 games out. Now Harris sucks, Morneau wore the collar. Baker and Liriano back to terrible, Perkins sick and Slowey hurt. Believe it or not we could come out of the 4 day rest and do exactly like Paul said earlier. Its not likely but its why I keep watching. Sanchez could be the Shannon Stewart move. Heck, maybe even Casilla could provide that spark.

By: Des

Des — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 18:33:01 +0000

I prefer the former model. If good enough to tease means good enough to make the playoffs half the time. If you are good enough to make the playoffs you are good enough to win it all. I would take 6 playoff chances with a 10% chance of winning it all over 3 chances with a 20% chance to win it all.
You may feel that the Twins wouldn’t have a 10% chance in an 8 team field but no team really has a 20% chance either. Adjust as you like. Don’t site 87 or 91 Twins as going for broke. They defied much greater odds. They would probably fall into the former category. They were over 100-1 odds against.
Playoffs are just a crapshoot. I like the Twins to be relevant in September year in and year out. I want them to go for Sanchez though. It is only a 2 year commitment right? As USAF says they can afford the money. Making the playoffs is the important thing. I will take my chances on Blackburn and Perkins or whoever coming up big in short series.

By: Boneyard

Boneyard — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 17:43:47 +0000

The Twins have ths decade have generally been good enough to tease but not quite good enough to compete with the elite teams in the league. Some prefer that to a long term plan where you go for broke over a 3 year (or so) window with the full knowledge that the club will have to rebuild, not reload, after the window closes since no matter how you slice it, this isn’t a big market. Of course, just because you go for broke doesn’t guarantee a championship. All sorts of things can go wrong (Detroit last year is a prime example). Still, I prefer the latter model, but it appears most don’t.

By: Paul

Paul — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 17:41:41 +0000

The glass is half empty?
Nay! I say the glass is half full. This is what I see. A solid team, IF the many who are performing at a level significantly less than last year get unslumped.
This is my vision:
Casilla finds it, comes back and fills the 2 hole with a .285/.330/.390
Crain’s wife learns a new technique in bed. He gets invigorated, comes back and is a MONSTER in the 8th.
Baker refinds it. Finishes at last years rate of production.
Perkins stays healthy.
Crede’s BA comes up to .265
Twins trade Harris and Liriano for JJ Hardy and a player to be named later.
JJ reverts to his carreer avg .263/.324/.432
Swarzak finishes the year 6 and 2 in the rotation.
Punto goes on a tear and ends the year at last years avg .284
Delmon is traded to the mets for Fmart. Who proceeds to tear up AAA. Pridie comes up as the 4th OF. Gets 15 PAs rest of the year as a D sub.
Gomez plays everyday. Regains confidence. Ends season at last years rate .258/.296/.360

Twins win central.

Twins stomp Yank$ in 1st round.

Twins stomp Boston in 2nd round.

Twins beat LA in WS 4 games to 2. Manny’s carreer is ended in a game ending homeplate collision with Joe Mauer.

We all live happily ever after.

By: fcmlefty

fcmlefty — Fri, 10 Jul 2009 17:32:29 +0000

Chief: I don’t think he is the savior, but we are talking about an All-Star 2B who has won a batting title. I think you are underestimating his value a bit.

What does it say about the return for Santana? It sucks, thats what it says. I thought it looked good at the time: a starting CF, a MLB ready starter (Humber) and a SP who would be in the rotation in 2011, and the bullpen before that (Mulvey), plus a power armed prospect. Instead, we got a not yet ready for prime time outfielder, a 1st round bust, a still pretty decent prospect (Mulvey…I’ve probably underrated him in previous posts) and a power arm that has issues. (but young enough to salvage)