Republicans

GOP veepstakes: Is there an echo in here?

Monday, June 30th, 2008

It’s either an amazing coincidence, or the talking points have been going out to some of the presumptive short-listers being considered by John McCain as his vice-presidential running mate.

Over the weekend, Rob Portman, a former member of Congress from Ohio, said flatly of his prospects, “I don’t expect to be asked, honestly.”

Back on June 18, Gov. Tim Pawlenty, offered his own version of the demurral: “The fact is, I haven’t been asked, and I don’t expect to be asked.”

And Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, asked about his vice-presidential prospects in May, offered up “Let me be clear — I do not think the senator is going to ask.”

Beating all three to the punch was former Arkansas Gov. Mike Huckabee, who made many of the initial short lists, but whose name has since faded. Back in April, after he had dropped his presidential bid, Huckabee called the vice presidential position a job that no one could refuse but also one he does not expect to be offered.

Perhaps notably (or not), Google and Nexis searches don’t turn up any such modest statements by former Massachusetts Gov. Mitt Romney, who remains fully in the mix of vice-presidential speculation. In fact, one report published Monday placed Romney at the top of McCain’s list.
The nutgraf:

“Romney as favorite” is the hot buzz in Republican circles, and top party advisers said the case is compelling.

Meanwhile, Pawlenty’s prospects simultaneously took a whack in the New York Observer, concluding that Pawlenty wouldn’t be all that much help to the Republican ticket.

McCain-Pawlenty ‘08, one more time

Friday, June 20th, 2008

The Washington Post’s political blogger, Chris Cillizza, has been one of the most persistent of pawmac.jpgthe Great Mentioners, placing Gov. Tim Pawlenty on John McCain’s short list of vice-presidential running mates. (Never mind the fact that McCain said Thursday after his plane landed in Minnesota that he really doesn’t have a short list.)

Anyway, Cillizza laid out the pros and cons of a Pawlenty candidacy in a couple of posts this week. Here’s the case for picking him. Here’s the case against him.

Thoughts?

McCain odds and ends…

Friday, June 20th, 2008

One of the enduring (and endlessly frustrating) limitations of the dead-tree version of this newspaper is the finite amount of space we’ve got in which to give you the news. No problem here, though. So here are some bits and pieces about John McCain’s visit to the Twin Cities Thursday, his first campaign stop of the year.

First, the pool reports (one reporter on the inside, filing to everyone else) from the Straight Talk Express ride from MSP and then the fundraiser McCain held at the Minneapolis Hilton:

On the Straight Talk Express from the airport to the hotel in Minneapolis, Sen. johnmc.jpgJohn McCain said that his campaign has decided that it will accept public financing for the general election. “We will take public financing,” Asked what his thinking was, he said, “Because we decided to take public financing.”

McCain also expanded on comments yesterday about whether he would reconsider opposition to drilling in ANWR. He said if given new information he would of course consider it, but that he remains opposed to drilling. Detailed quotes available to anyone who wants them. If enough requests, I’ll send another pool report.

On the bus, most of the questioning was done by two local reporters. Gov. Tim Pawlenty and his wife, Mary, were aboard, and one of the reporters asked McCain in several ways whether Pawlenty was being considered for VP. McCain praised the governor but declined to say whether he was on a short list or give any other insight into the matter. He said there really isn’t a short list.

The other reporter asked a series of questions along the lines of “if you could have any super power, what power would you want” and “what is the worst thing you ever did as a youth. (McCain didn’t name a super power but spoke of his awe for Mohammed Ali; he could not manage to decide which of the things he did at the Naval Academy would be the worst.) He was also asked what he wanted his epithet [sic] to be: “Served his country honorably.” Favorite TV shows: He mentioned “24,” “The Tudors” and “Damages.”

There were about 75 people at the fund-raiser in Minneapolis, and the room was at least half empty when Sen. John McCain addressed the group. He spoke for just under 20 minutes, including several questions and answers.

In his introductory remarks, he predicted protestors would appear at the town hall meeting later this evening.

“Americans are asking us to stop yelling at each other,” he said. “That’s what they want us to do. Sit down together, work out these issues.”

He praised Gov. Tim Pawlenty as “one of the finest governors in America,” a comment which drew hearty applause.

In thanking the assembled for their support, McCain made clear that he needs their money.

“Thank you for your support. Thank you for being here. It means a lot, it means a lot .We are probably going to be outraised in this campaign, but thanks to your support… we’re going to be competitive. I’ve never been in a competitive race where I wasn’t outraised.”

“We’ve got enough to run this campaign.”

“We have a small staff. When I say small it’s about 300 people now that we are in the process of hiring for our entire campaign. Sen. Obama has over a thousand and it’s growing. So I can assure you that we will make sure your support goes where it’s most needed and frankly that’s to media. and to organizing get out the vote and absentee ballot programs. Those are the things that win and lose elections. I’m grateful for your support.”

He then pivoted to Obama’s decision to opt out of public financing.

“As you know after the scandal of Watergate we enacted certain reforms and one of those was the ability of a candidate in the general election after the primary to take public financing. In other words a certain amount of money is given and then campaigns are run on those. Well today Senator Obama, for the first time since the Watergate era reforms any candidate has decided he will not take public financing, and the interesting thing about that is that a little over a year ago there was a questionnaire sent out to me and to Sen. Obama and said, ‘If your opponent will take public financing, will you?’ and I said, ‘Of course.’ And he signed his name to a piece of paper that said if the Republican nominee takes public financing then he would too. Well–and he signed his name to it. You know, this campaign is supposed to be about trust– supposed to about trust and taking people’s word for things. Sen. Obama, because obviously his status has changed from what was clearly not a frontrunner status to one that now has the ability to raise a lot of money, he has reversed his position on that. He has reversed his position on a number of issues and so this is going to be a hard campaign my friends. I have to give you straight talk. It’s going to be hard.”

Among McCain’s repeated shots at Barack Obama was this one, citing Obama’s willingness to meet with hostile foreign leaders: “There are stark differences between us and this campaign will draw them out … My record and my principles are closely aligned with those of Ronald Reagan. I believe he is a good role model.”

The 13th and final question of the night broached the Tim Pawlenty-for-vice-president issue, with the questioner asking McCain what the governor’s prospects are.”I knew we should have stopped - this meeting is adjourned,” McCain cracked.
Without directly answering, he returned to a formulation he has repeatedly used to describe Pawlenty as “the next, new generation of the Republican Party of America. He has a place in the future of the country and the future of the Republican Party.”

Reactions from folks in the crowd?

Don Dame, a mechanical engineer and pilot from Woodbury, said he was uncommitted before the town hall meeting. Afterwards, despite disagreeing with McCain on global warming, he said he was backing him. Obama doesn’t have enough experience, he said.

“The more you hear about the guy, the better you like him. He is a straight talker. McCain says things that people can believe,” Dame said. “How many politicians are willing to tell the truth to people, because it’s going to cost them votes?”

Mark Swanson, a former naval officer who lives in Becker, Minn., and works as an engineer for Medtronic, asked McCain what he thought about Rep. Michele Bachmann’s plan to reduce gas prices to $2 per gallon. McCain had raised his eyebrows and said, “I eagerly look forward to seeing that. I’ll try to read it tonight.”

Said Swanson, who had been for McCain and left the meeting even more enthusiastically for him: “When you see him face-to-face, all the press reports that say he’s not conservative go by the wayside. I don’t hear him being wishy-washy or doubtful … He impresses me very much as an idealist.”

Brian Davis, the environmental attorney who said he was for McCain before the town hall, said he was even more impressed with McCain afterwards.

And daughter, Jennifer, the frustrated Hillary supporter? She’s still undecided, but she said that McCain had risen in her eyes. She said she thought he was sincere and straightforward, and she liked what he said about the environment and following through with the war.

“The intimacy of the setting allowed me to feel his energy and his passion,” she said. “I believe in his character and his integrity, and that’s huge for me.”

Ron Paul’s crashing the GOP’s party

Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

Unable (so far) to secure a speaking slot at the Republican National Convention in St. Paul, still-unbowed GOP presidential candidate Ron Paul is staging a counter-convention of his own across the river on the convention’s second day.

The 10-term congressman from Texas still has millions of dollars in campaign contributions to burn and a fervent following, even though he won not a single primary and has amassed only a handful of convention delegates. But he’s booked Williams Arena at the University of Minnesota for a rally on Sept. 2 in the hopes of attracting several thousand followers — and, not incidentally, attention from the 15,000 news media types who will already be in town to cover the big show at the Xcel Energy Center.

Here he is, on Fox News Tuesday, explaining his plans.

Cheney’s role in the McCain campaign

Wednesday, June 11th, 2008

In the wake of Vice President Dick Cheney’s under-the-radar fundraising trip to Minnesota on Monday, it’s interesting to speculate about what role he may have in trying to get John McCain elected president. Well, the Politico website has published a piece wallowing in just that kind of speculation. It’s worth a read.

McCain’s first general election ad

Friday, June 6th, 2008

John McCain is airing his inaugural general-election campaign ad, one that cuts directly to the chase by invoking his national security bona fides: “I’m running for president to keep the country I love safe.”

The ad will start running this weekend in Minnesota, Wisconsin, Iowa and eight other battleground states.

Well, THAT didn’t take long (part 2)

Friday, June 6th, 2008

Not to be outdone by their Republican counterparts, the Democratic National Committee has its own new video ripping GOP presidential nominee John McCain for his ties to lobbyists, in the hopes of playing the hypocricy card. Take a look.

Well, THAT certainly didn’t take long…

Thursday, June 5th, 2008

The Republican National Committee wasted no time taking on Barack Obama. The Xcel Energy Center had barely emptied out Tuesday night when the party had dumped a huge load of anti-Obama stuff on its website. Exhibit A is a web-only video featuring his erstwhile Democratic presidential competitors (and former President Bill Clinton) saying nasty, dismissive things about him. Take a look.

This almost certainly won’t be the last time stuff like this is disgorged, given the fact that Obama emerged from the longest primary fight in modern history, meaning there’s a LOT more video out there.

Finally, some good vice-presidential news for Pawlenty

Tuesday, June 3rd, 2008

Day after day, Gov. Tim Pawlenty has suffered the low-level indignity of registering a bum performance as John McCain’s vice-presidential running mate, at the hands of the SurveyUSA polling firm. The folks at SurveyUSA have run several hypothetical matchups of McCain vs. Obama, grafting onto them a variety of potential veeps.

Pawlenty’s problem is that among the Republican aspirants, his performance has lagged, sometimes turning in the worst performance for the GOP of the bunch. Not in Minnesota, though. Here, he adds some rocket fuel to the ticket.

SurveyUSA’s analysis (the results are here):

“Republican governor Tim Pawlenty is the sole Republican tested this cycle who gives McCain a win by more than the margin of sampling error. With no running mates, Obama defeats McCain by 5 points; with running mates added, results range from a 8 point McCain win (McCain/Pawlenty vs. Obama/Rendell) to a 15 point Obama win (McCain/Lieberman vs. Obama/Edwards).

Veepmania, this week (at least so far)

Tuesday, May 27th, 2008

The presidential matchups continue and Gov. Tim Pawlenty continues to be a drag on the Republican ticket. The SurveyUSA polling firm continues its state-by-state march across America, this time focusing the relative strenghs of John McCain and Barack Obama when matched with a variety of running mates.

In the absolute battleground of Ohio, Pawlenty’s presence on the ticket results in a GOP loss of between 5 and 18 percentage points. And in Iowa, a state nearly as important in November, the governor of a next-door state (ouch) fares as poorly as 26 percentage pointsbehind Obama and John Edwards.

Full results here.

On the bright side for Pawlentyites, New York Times columnists had some ear-burningly nice things to say about their guy today, calling him in passing a “shining star:”

McCain will need somebody who radiates calm. He’ll need somebody who can provide structure and organization. He’ll need somebody who enjoys working with budgets…

Pawlenty, the governor of Minnesota, is one of the G.O.P.’s leading and most likable modernizers. The son of a truck driver (his mother died when he was 16), he is the godfather of Sam’s Club conservatism, the effort to reconnect the party to the needs of the working class. Pawlenty could help McCain play the Theodore Roosevelt-style role — reforming the nation’s institutions to fit a new century and epoch.