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	<title>Comments on: Meaningful Home Run Index: A-Rod vs. Morneau</title>
	<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/</link>
	<description>Exploring the soft underbelly of sports</description>
	<pubDate>Mon, 23 Nov 2009 17:44:11 +0000</pubDate>
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		<title>By: Brandon</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48526</link>
		<dc:creator>Brandon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Fri, 22 Aug 2008 01:40:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48526</guid>
		<description>This whole thing just makes me sad.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This whole thing just makes me sad.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Rand</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48522</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Rand</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 22:56:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48522</guid>
		<description>Jon, you should know that I only use stats that are in my favor.

ajax, interesting twist. I like the thought.

merx, a humorous +1.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Jon, you should know that I only use stats that are in my favor.</p>
<p>ajax, interesting twist. I like the thought.</p>
<p>merx, a humorous +1.</p>
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		<title>By: Jon</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48518</link>
		<dc:creator>Jon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 22:44:02 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48518</guid>
		<description>Michael Rand says: &lt;i&gt;A-Rod career, RISP, two outs: .273 BA, .890 OPS; close and late: .279 BA, .906 OPS. A-Rod career, up by 4 or more runs: .311 BA, .958 OPS.&lt;/i&gt;

Add to that: 

A-Rod career
Tie game: .974 OPS
1 run or closer game: .982 OPS
2 run or closer game: .955 OPS
3 run or closer game: .968 OPS
4 run or closer game: .970 OPS
5 run or more game: .958 OPS

http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01#situa-clutc</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Michael Rand says: <i>A-Rod career, RISP, two outs: .273 BA, .890 OPS; close and late: .279 BA, .906 OPS. A-Rod career, up by 4 or more runs: .311 BA, .958 OPS.</i></p>
<p>Add to that: </p>
<p>A-Rod career<br />
Tie game: .974 OPS<br />
1 run or closer game: .982 OPS<br />
2 run or closer game: .955 OPS<br />
3 run or closer game: .968 OPS<br />
4 run or closer game: .970 OPS<br />
5 run or more game: .958 OPS</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01#situa-clutc" rel="nofollow">http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01#situa-clutc</a></p>
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		<title>By: ajax</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48516</link>
		<dc:creator>ajax</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 22:18:33 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48516</guid>
		<description>I like the concept, but here is how this should be calculated:

((HR in meaningful situations)/(Total HR)) - ((Plate Appearances in meaningful situations)/(Total Plate Appearances))

In other words:

(% of HR that are meaningful) - (% of Plate Appearances that are meaningful)

If a player faces a meaningful situation 40% of the time, the law of averages would tell you that 40% of their home runs should be meaningful.  This player would have a meaningful HR index of 0.  This is the standard, the overall average.  If a player faces a meaningful situation 40% of the time, but 50% of their home runs are meaningful, that gives them an index of .100.  The higher in the positive direction, the better a player is in the meaningful HR department.  A negative number is bad, obviously.  

Not a chance I'm actually going to do the research and figure out numbers, but this is how you should measure meaningful home runs.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I like the concept, but here is how this should be calculated:</p>
<p>((HR in meaningful situations)/(Total HR)) - ((Plate Appearances in meaningful situations)/(Total Plate Appearances))</p>
<p>In other words:</p>
<p>(% of HR that are meaningful) - (% of Plate Appearances that are meaningful)</p>
<p>If a player faces a meaningful situation 40% of the time, the law of averages would tell you that 40% of their home runs should be meaningful.  This player would have a meaningful HR index of 0.  This is the standard, the overall average.  If a player faces a meaningful situation 40% of the time, but 50% of their home runs are meaningful, that gives them an index of .100.  The higher in the positive direction, the better a player is in the meaningful HR department.  A negative number is bad, obviously.  </p>
<p>Not a chance I&#8217;m actually going to do the research and figure out numbers, but this is how you should measure meaningful home runs.</p>
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		<title>By: Merx</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48512</link>
		<dc:creator>Merx</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 22:03:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48512</guid>
		<description>Adam Everett: 
5/11, 2nd inning, up 3, 0
8/11, 2nd inning, tied, 1.25

Summary: 2 home runs; meaningful home run points: 1.25. Meaningful home run index: .625

Slightly belo A-Rod, also important to note Everett hit all his home runs on the 11th day and in the 2nd inning. So if he starts Sept 11th you count on him getting a home run in the 2nd.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Adam Everett:<br />
5/11, 2nd inning, up 3, 0<br />
8/11, 2nd inning, tied, 1.25</p>
<p>Summary: 2 home runs; meaningful home run points: 1.25. Meaningful home run index: .625</p>
<p>Slightly belo A-Rod, also important to note Everett hit all his home runs on the 11th day and in the 2nd inning. So if he starts Sept 11th you count on him getting a home run in the 2nd.</p>
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		<title>By: ramon</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48511</link>
		<dc:creator>ramon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 21:59:52 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48511</guid>
		<description>Just as Olympic gymnastics scoring is taking more into account level of difficulty, maybe Rand's point system could do the same. 

Example: A-Rod hits after noted power hitter Bobby Abreu and before noted power hitter Jason Giambi. 

A couple days ago, Morneau was hitting after noted power hitter Joe Mauer and before noted Home Run Derby candidate Mike Lamb. 

I'm not saying, I'm just saying...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Just as Olympic gymnastics scoring is taking more into account level of difficulty, maybe Rand&#8217;s point system could do the same. </p>
<p>Example: A-Rod hits after noted power hitter Bobby Abreu and before noted power hitter Jason Giambi. </p>
<p>A couple days ago, Morneau was hitting after noted power hitter Joe Mauer and before noted Home Run Derby candidate Mike Lamb. </p>
<p>I&#8217;m not saying, I&#8217;m just saying&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: roughkat</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48509</link>
		<dc:creator>roughkat</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 21:44:39 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48509</guid>
		<description>Hootie - precisely.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Hootie - precisely.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Rand</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48508</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Rand</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 21:33:28 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48508</guid>
		<description>A-Rod career, RISP, two outs: .273 BA, .890 OPS; close and late: .279 BA, .906 OPS. A-Rod career, up by 4 or more runs: .311 BA, .958 OPS.

http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>A-Rod career, RISP, two outs: .273 BA, .890 OPS; close and late: .279 BA, .906 OPS. A-Rod career, up by 4 or more runs: .311 BA, .958 OPS.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01" rel="nofollow">http://www.baseball-reference.com/pi/bsplit.cgi?n1=rodrial01</a></p>
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		<title>By: Brandon</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48507</link>
		<dc:creator>Brandon</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 21:29:41 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48507</guid>
		<description>What kind of selfish, arrogant jerk hits a zero-point home run? Jeter for MVP.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>What kind of selfish, arrogant jerk hits a zero-point home run? Jeter for MVP.</p>
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		<title>By: Michael Rand</title>
		<link>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48506</link>
		<dc:creator>Michael Rand</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Thu, 21 Aug 2008 21:25:37 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid>http://blogs2.startribune.com/blogs/randball/2008/08/21/meaningful-home-run-index-a-rod-vs-morneau/#comment-48506</guid>
		<description>fasolamatt &#62; jon + brandon</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>fasolamatt &gt; jon + brandon</p>
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